Estepona Oeste
From the port to the boundary with Casares
Land for a second cycleTerritorial intelligence report Western Costa del Sol, Málaga
Snapshot as at 14 October 2026. Three things are moving: the entry into force of Marbella’s new general plan, approved but awaiting publication in the Provincial Official Gazette (BOP); Estepona’s partial plans; and the new-build homes on sale. If more than 3–6 months have passed, review them with us before you buy land.
All three stretches can take 30–40 homes for an international buyer. What sets them apart is the land that is genuinely ready, the price new-build homes achieve and how much supply competes with yours. And your open question has an answer in the data: in this price range, the natural buyer is the one from abroad. This is our judgement, signed; every figure behind it is in its chapter, with its source and date.
5,955€/m²
Appraised value of homes up to five years old in Marbella: 47 % more than in Estepona.
MIVAU · Q2 2026
888homes
New-build homes sold in Estepona in 2025, twice as many as in Marbella. That is where sales are today, and the competition.
MIVAU · 2025
37%
Share of home purchases in the province of Málaga made by foreigners.
Land Registrars · Q2 2026
58%
Share of the average Estepona household income that would go on the mortgage for a €450,000 home.
INE · ROMVILL calculation
The same data for all three. Select a column to follow that area through the whole report: the map, the charts and the synthesis will highlight it.
From the port to the boundary with Casares
Land for a second cycleEl Padrón · Cancelada · Atalaya
More sales, more competitionElviria · Las Chapas · Cabopino
Best balance, if there is land‘Best’ marks the best figure in each row when the areas are measured with the same yardstick. A and B share the figures that exist only by municipality: price, sales and endorsements. An appraisal is not a closing price, and ‘no official figure’ means exactly that.
01Your brief
Before any data, we hand your brief back to you as we have understood it: it is what organises this report. And we tell you frankly what the Premium level covers and what is left for your technical and legal team.
In your words
‘Land for 30–40 homes to sell to an international buyer, with certainty on the plan and the licence.’
Five conditions are firm: 30–40 homes, apartment blocks or terraced houses, a price range of €450,000 to €900,000, a financial partner at your side and the requirement for certainty on the plan, the licence, the sales rate and the competition. The open question, who to sell to, allows two readings that change the timetable, the financing and the product.
Pre-sale with guaranteed advance payments, to a buyer who decides in one visit or remotely.
A buyer who lives and works here, with a mortgage and a delivery date in mind.
This report analyses both. We give you the answer the data provide in advance: given the income that households in these areas declare, your price range is above all a product for a buyer from abroad, and the European financing rules now in force allow you to replace part of the pre-sale with your partner’s capital. We show this in chapters 04, 06 and 08.
A developer does not buy an area. It buys land, a licence and a pace of sales. That is why the Premium level measures fourteen dimensions, each with its source, and cross-references them in the synthesis.
| Dimension | What we measure | Chapter |
|---|---|---|
| 1 · Planning | The plan in force, Marbella’s new plan and what the Andalusian law changed | 03 |
| 2 · Land | Sectors with land and a sample plot with its official fact sheet | 03 · 07 |
| 3 · Market | Appraised value of recent homes and published asking prices | 04 |
| 4 · Absorption | New-build sales by year and half-year | 04 |
| 5 · Competition | Homes endorsed and developments on sale | 04 |
| 6 · Licences | Procedure, statutory time limit and the effect of silence | 05 |
| 7 · Costs | Construction tax, fees, guarantees and developer loan | 06 |
| 8 · Developer taxation | IVA (Spanish VAT) on homes, municipal plusvalía, IBI (local property tax) and corporation tax | 06 |
| 9 · Connectivity | Airports and motorway, with calculated routes | 08 |
| 10 · Services | Hospitals, beaches and seasonality of visitors | 08 |
| 11 · Natural risks | Flooding from streams and wildfire | 09 |
| 12 · Coast and water | Coastal easements and water supply | 07 · 09 |
| 13 · International demand | Purchases by foreigners and overnight stays | 04 · 08 |
| 14 · Surroundings and safety | Official crime figures and household income | 08 |
For your brief
Your development fits all three stretches. What decides it is not the stretch of coast you choose, but the land that is ready and the buyer you sell to.
Keep this in mind as you read: the synthesis gives you back both readings with their weight, in a simulator that you can adjust yourself.
02The areas
West Estepona, with land still to be developed; east Estepona, where building and selling happen today; and east Marbella, more expensive and better connected. Mijas Costa stays as a benchmark, outside the brief.
Scroll down slowly: the map accompanies you from one stretch to the next, in relief, and stops at the sample plot.
From Estepona port to the boundary with Casares: Arroyo Vaquero, Valle Romano, Bahía Dorada and Buenas Noches, with Sierra Bermeja behind. Here lies the municipality’s largest tract of land: the SURS-O8 ‘Arroyo Vaquero Norte II’ sector, of 65.5 hectares and up to 1,200 homes, whose partial plan (plan parcial) received initial approval from the Full Council on 12 November 202518.
A public high-resolution hospital, set up in 2020, is two kilometres away41, and Gibraltar airport is 41 minutes away; Málaga’s is 6610. It is the stretch with the most land and the least finished supply, and for that reason the one with the longest timetable.
El Padrón, Cancelada, Atalaya and El Paraíso: the stretch between Estepona’s old town and Guadalmina. This is where the named developments we reviewed are concentrated: Metrovacesa is marketing phases here in Cancelada and Atalaya, with semi-detached houses from €775,000 plus IVA43.
Its large land bank, the Arroyo del Saladillo sectors (61 hectares and up to 1,712 homes between the two), has had its sectorisation approved since 2022 and still lacks a partial plan17. The Atalaya census section reports the highest household income of all those we consulted across the three stretches, €48,964; El Padrón’s, €41,4606.
Elviria, Las Chapas and Cabopino, from Los Monteros to the boundary with Mijas. It is the best-connected stretch: the Hospital Costa del Sol is 7 minutes away and Málaga airport 4310. And the most expensive: homes up to five years old are appraised in Marbella at €5,955/m²1.
Its limit is land. The new general plan recognises three vacant sites here with approved planning that can finish their development: Elviria IV, Elviria V and Las Dunas13. The coast adds the Dunas de Artola Natural Monument, protected since 200340.
Between the A-7 motorway and the beach, on the boundary between Rícmar and Elviria, lies the URP-AL-6 ‘Las Dunas’ sector, with complete detailed planning approved in 202416. That is where we place the illustrative plot of chapter 07. The position of the point is approximate: the exact boundary is on the sector plan.
La Cala and Calahonda are Cabopino’s immediate neighbour and the new-build market that has moved most this year: 550 new homes sold in the first half of 2026, against 176 a year earlier2, and 1,904 homes endorsed by the architects’ college (visadas) in 20253. Its recent homes are appraised below Estepona’s, at €3,761/m²1. It falls outside your brief; we leave it here so that you can see the full map of the competition.
Appraised value of open-market homes up to five years old · MIVAU, Q2 2026. It is an appraisal, not a closing or asking price; A and B share the Estepona figure.
Reading. In one year, the appraised value of recent homes rises by 29.2 % in Estepona, 16.0 % in Marbella and 19.6 % in Mijas, with samples of 79 to 147 appraisals a quarter: the order of magnitude, not the decimal, is what to take from it.
Source 1 · 14/10/2026For your brief
Your three stretches do not compete on the same thing. Estepona Oeste offers land; Estepona Este, sales; Marbella Este, price and connection.
03Planning and land
Estepona works with its general plan of 1994; Marbella has just approved the first plan to replace its 1986 one. In between, the Andalusian land law changed the rules in 2021. Here is the state of each plan, the land that exists and what it means for your timetable.
What governs each municipality today and how we got here.
The plan that still provides the detailed planning.
In force today in stretches A and B.
Marbella goes back to the 1986 plan.
Only urban and rural land.
Partial plan in Arroyo Vaquero, Estepona.
It comes into force on publication in the BOP.
Reading. In Estepona, the risk is not the general plan, stable since 1994, but the pace of the partial plans. In Marbella, the risk is the reverse: more certainty than in 2015–2026, but a brand-new plan.
Sources 11, 15, 17, 18 and 19 · 14/10/2026The Supreme Court annulled the 2010 revision of Marbella’s general plan in October 2015, and the municipality went back to the 1986 one15. On 18 September 2026 the Full Council gave final approval to the new PGOM, by an absolute majority11, and the notice appeared in the BOJA of 9 October12. The resolution itself provides that it comes into force the day after its rules are published in the Provincial Official Gazette; as at 14 October, the plan’s official website does not announce that publication.
And when it comes into force, the PGOM will set the structural planning. The detail of what is built on each block will remain that of the 1986 plan where its drawing O.01.2 so indicates, or that of the future POU, still under environmental assessment13.
The nuance that decides your timetableFor a specific plot of land in Marbella Este you need to know three things: whether its development planning had been approved (the PGOM keeps it in force, art. 2.3.6), which instrument gives it detailed planning and whether the plan has already been published. Publication also opens the period for challenging it, and the 2010 plan fell precisely that way.
For 30–40 homes one block is enough, but that block inherits the stage of its sector. These are the sites with an official fact sheet that we have read across the three stretches161718.
| Sector | Site area | Plot ratio | Max. homes | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · SURS-O8 Arroyo Vaquero Norte II | 655,251 m² | 0.2976 m²t/m²s | 1,200 · 30 % protected | Partial plan, initial approval (12/11/2025) |
| B · SUS-E1-A Arroyo del Saladillo Este | 526,605 m² | 0.30 m²t/m²s | 1,477 | Sectorisation approved (2022); partial plan outstanding |
| B · SUS-E1-B Arroyo del Saladillo Oeste | 83,853 m² | 0.30 m²t/m²s | 235 | Same |
| C · URP-AL-6 Las Dunas | 161,305 m² | 0.281 m²t/m²s | 206 · min. 150 m² each | Complete planning approved (10/06/2024) |
Estepona’s two sites set the ‘Mediterranean Village’ (Pueblo Mediterráneo) as their characteristic building type and reserve 30 % of the residential floorspace for protected housing. Las Dunas, by contrast, already has its detailed planning and can move on to re-parcelling and urbanisation without another plan.
Ley 7/2021 (LISTA) and its regulations. Each step is an administrative file with its own approval.
Partial plan or instrument of the transformation scheme. Without it there are no blocks or firm parameters.
Developer and town hall · initial and final approvalDistribution of plots and charges, and works on streets and utilities. Outstanding charges travel with the plot.
Compensation board (junta de compensación) · town hallThree statutory months to decide, and negative silence for new buildings. Afterwards, a self-declaration of occupation (declaración responsable).
You · town hallSince 23 December 2021, Andalusia has distinguished only urban and rural land. New growth takes place through urban transformation schemes (actuaciones de transformación urbanística), and general plans split into a structural PGOM and a detailed POU19. What matters for your timetable is in the first transitional provision: land that was developable and either already planned in detail or sectorised can be developed under the plan in force, as an already delimited scheme; non-sectorised land first needs a delimitation proposal.
The law’s regulations have been in force since December 202220, and in 2025 Andalusia passed a decree-law of urgent housing measures, focused on land for protected and affordable housing, and in December its Housing Act (Ley de Vivienda)23. For your open-market product, the rule that governs is still that of each sector’s plan.
For your brief
Land ready for a licence is scarce in all three stretches. In Estepona, the large tracts still need a partial plan; in Marbella Este there is little, but with the planning done.
Before negotiating a price, the first question is what stage that land is at and who pays for what is missing.
04New-build market
Price, pace and competition, from official sources: the appraisals and sales by municipality from the Ministry of Housing, the endorsements from the Official College of Architects of Málaga and the purchases by foreigners recorded by the Land Registrars (Colegio de Registradores). And, as a sample, the supply that two listed developers publish.
Open-market housing by municipality. Sales: Ministry of Housing (Q2 2026, provisional). Endorsed and completed: Official College of Architects of Málaga.
| Municipality | New-build sold 2024 | 2025 | H1 2026 | Endorsed 2025 | Endorsed Q1 2026 | Completed 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estepona · A and B | 727 | 888 | 256 | 1,056 | 540 | 1,116 |
| Marbella · C | 377 | 450 | 141 | 384 | 35 | 563 |
| Mijas · benchmark | 595 | 337 | 550 | 1,904 | 444 | 624 |
| Manilva · benchmark | 156 | 92 | 59 | 378 | 93 | 124 |
Reading. Marbella also had 256 protected homes endorsed in 2025 and completed 73; they do not compete with your open-market product. The sales figures are deeds: they arrive months after the off-plan sale.
Sources 2 and 3 · 14/10/2026Estepona recorded 888 new-build sales in 2025, twice as many as Marbella2. But in the same year it completed 1,116 homes and had 1,056 endorsed, and in the first quarter of 2026 another 540, while its new-build sales for the half-year fell to 2563. Marbella sells less, but barely restocks: 35 homes endorsed in the quarter.
In terms of your development: in Estepona you will find a buyer, and also many sellers with the same product. In Marbella Este you will compete against little new supply, in return for having to find land.
What these figures do not sayThey are municipal: they do not separate Estepona Oeste from Estepona Este, nor one development from another. And there is no official statistic on the average time a development takes to sell: we do not publish one.
In the second quarter of 2026, 37.01 % of the home purchases registered in the province of Málaga were made by foreigners, the second-highest share in Spain after Alicante; 2,967 new homes were sold in the province in the quarter4. Nationally, the most frequent foreign buyers were British, Dutch and German; the report does not give that breakdown for Málaga.
Tourism confirms it from another angle: in 2025, 80.5 % of hotel overnight stays in Marbella and 77.4 % of those in Estepona were by residents abroad5.
Hotel overnight stays in 2025, month by month · index, August = 100 · INE. The Estepona series applies to areas A and B.
Reading. If your sales depend on the visitor, your season runs from April to October in both. In winter, Marbella keeps a quarter of August’s traffic; Estepona, less than a tenth in December.
Source 5 · 14/10/2026A sample, not a census: what two listed developers publish on their websites. Between them they advertise in Estepona at least 24 developments or phases with homes on sale, at prices from €359,000 to €1,625,000, most of them within your price range. In Marbella, five, and AEDAS’s starts at €950,0004344.
| Development | Developer | Where | From · asking |
|---|---|---|---|
| Serenity Gardens · 106 homes | Metrovacesa | Estepona | €405,000 + IVA |
| Zenity Blau | AEDAS Homes | Estepona | €480,000 |
| Aire · 57 homes | Metrovacesa | Estepona | €483,000 + IVA |
| Adagio · 80 homes | Metrovacesa | Estepona | €492,000 + IVA |
| Libella | AEDAS Homes | Estepona | €620,000 |
| South Sand | AEDAS Homes | Estepona | €795,000 |
| Serene Atalaya F2 · 50 semi-detached houses | Metrovacesa | Atalaya · B | €850,000 + IVA |
| Symphony Suites F2 · 41 homes | Metrovacesa | Cancelada · B | On request |
| Medblue III · 51 homes | Metrovacesa | Marbella | €499,000 + IVA |
| Soul Marbella Sunlife III | AEDAS Homes | Marbella | €950,000 |
‘From’ prices published by each developer on 14/10/2026; they are asking prices, not closing prices. ‘+ IVA’ where the developer states it. It excludes local developers and foreign developers whose websites we did not review.
For your brief
Sales are in Estepona; the price, in Marbella. And the competition is still on the market: what is being endorsed in Estepona today will compete with your development when it reaches the market.
Foreign demand is significant in all three stretches: 37 % of the province’s purchases. The difference is in how many sellers are waiting for you.
05Licences and timescales
In Andalusia, a major-works licence (licencia de obra mayor) has a statutory time limit of three months from when the documentation is complete. How long it really takes is not published by either town hall; we explain what it depends on and what shortens it.
Ley 7/2021 (LISTA), its regulations and the state consolidated text of the Land Law. For a plot that is already serviced building land (solar).
What the plot allows, which sectoral reports the town hall will ask for and which charges are still outstanding.
You · town hallThree months from complete documentation, with a technical and legal report. If there is no response, it is deemed refused.
You · town hallWith the building finished and in line with the licence, occupation is notified and checked afterwards.
You · checks afterwardsThe LISTA requires the licence to be decided within a maximum of three months from when the complete documentation enters the municipal register, and declares positive silence ‘except in the cases provided for in state legislation’ (art. 140.2)19. State law is one of those cases: new-build construction works require an express decision, with negative silence (art. 11.4)21. If the town hall does not respond, you do not have a licence.
Occupation of the finished building is done by self-declaration (LISTA, art. 138.1.d). If the building does not comply and the administration does not act within six months, it becomes liable to third parties acting in good faith (art. 11.5 of the state law).
We have not found any management report or published municipal statistic giving the average time to grant major-works licences in Marbella or in Estepona. We do not publish the figures that circulate in statements or in the press: there is no way to cross-check them.
What the real timescale depends onOn the documentation being submitted complete (each request for further information restarts the wait), on the prior sectoral reports that the plot requires and on the urbanisation having been formally accepted by the town hall. On a coastal plot or one next to the motorway, those reports count for more than the municipal time limit itself.
| Constraint | When it applies | Who is involved |
|---|---|---|
| Coast | Uses within the protection easement; planning within the 500 m zone of influence | Regional government, with a report from Costas (the coastal authority) |
| State roads | Works in the easement zone of the A-7 or AP-7 (25 m) | Ministerio de Transportes |
| Watercourses | Works in the policing zone of a stream (100 m) | Andalusian water authority |
| Heritage | Surroundings of protected assets and archaeological control | Junta de Andalucía · historic heritage |
The LISTA allows the technical report of a professional association or of a certifying urban-planning entity (entidad urbanística certificadora) to stand in for the municipal one if the ordinance provides for it (art. 140.3). Marbella regulated this in 2025: the developer may, voluntarily, submit its building or first-occupation licence application with a document-verification certificate or a technical planning-compliance report issued by one of those entities22.
It does not change the statutory time limit, but the file arrives already reviewed. In Estepona we have not found an equivalent ordinance.
For your brief
Treat the licence timescale as a risk, not as a date. What shortens it: complete documentation, sectoral reports requested in good time and, in Marbella, the certifying entities route.
The guarantee on your buyers’ advance payments is required from the licence onwards: your pre-sale calendar starts there.
06Developer costs and taxation
IVA on housing, construction tax, fees, plusvalía and IBI, using each town hall’s 2026 tax ordinances. And what European banking regulation now requires to finance your development, which answers part of your open question.
2026 tax ordinances and state laws. A and B share Estepona’s ordinances.
| Item | Estepona · A and B | Marbella · C | Rule |
|---|---|---|---|
| IVA on housing | 10 % | 10 % | Ley 37/1992, art. 91; including up to two garage spaces and annexes |
| ICIO (construction tax) | 4.00 % of the actual cost | 4 % of the execution cost | Ley de Haciendas Locales (local finance law), art. 102: legal maximum |
| Building licence fee | 1.1 % of cost | 0.719 % of cost | 2026 tax ordinances |
| First-occupation fee | 1.1 % of cost | 0.308 % of cost | 2026 tax ordinances |
| Municipal plusvalía, rate | 20 % | 29 % | Paid by the seller: the developer, on each sale |
| Urban IBI | 0.662 % | 0.65 % | 2026 tax ordinances |
| Corporation tax | 25 % | 25 % | Ley 27/2014, art. 29: general rate |
Reading. Commercial units that you sell alongside the homes are not annexes and are taxed at the general rate of IVA24; corporation tax is the general 25 %29. The deed of new building and horizontal division (the division into separately owned units) also pays stamp duty on documents (Actos Jurídicos Documentados, AJD), at the general Andalusian rate of 1.2 %47 on the base that the law sets for each deed: ask your adviser for the calculation.
Sources 24 to 27, 29 and 47 · 14/10/2026The construction tax falls due when the works begin, whether or not there is a licence, and is calculated on the material execution cost, excluding IVA, professional fees and the contractor’s profit25. At the 2026 rates, every million euros of material execution budget pays €62,000 in Estepona (4 % + 1.1 % + 1.1 %)26 and €50,270 in Marbella (4 % + 0.719 % + 0.308 %)27 in tax and municipal fees.
Marbella calculates the provisional assessment using the construction values of the College of Architects of Málaga. As a reference for real budgets, the open-market apartment projects endorsed in 2025 declared €933/m² of material execution in Marbella and €760/m² in Estepona3: that is what was declared in the project, not the final cost of the works.
With the municipal plusvalía (IIVTNU, the tax on the increase in value of urban land), the seller pays: you, on each of your 30–40 deeds25. On an equal taxable base, the amount due in Marbella is 45 % higher than in Estepona (29 % against 20 %). We do not quantify it: it depends on the cadastral value of each home and on the number of years since you buy the land.
Since 4 November 2025, banks apply the European guidelines on developer lending (ADC loan): the loan uses up the bank’s capital as if it carried a 150 % weight, and falls to 100 % if one of two conditions is met30. One of them is covered by your financial partner.
Contracts with an advance payment of at least 10 % of the price, which the buyer forfeits if they withdraw, and which add up to at least 50 % of the total amount of the loan, not of the value of the development.
Funds contributed by the developer of at least 25 % of the value of the completed development. It is the natural role of your financial partner.
An example with round numbers: with a €10 million loan, contracts worth €5 million with 10 % advance payments are enough. We do not tell you which bank will apply which price: that is for you to negotiate.
If you collect advance payments, the law requires you, from the licence onwards, to guarantee their return, taxes and statutory interest included, with surety insurance or a joint-and-several bank guarantee, and to collect them in a special account kept separate from your other funds. On completion, decennial insurance covers structural damage for ten years28. These are costs of reading A: include them in your numbers before comparing with selling on completion.
For your brief
Taxation does not decide between your stretches: it evens out. What does decide is how you finance: with pre-sales that cover half the loan or with 25 % capital from your partner.
With a financial partner willing to put in that 25 %, you can choose to sell off-plan by strategy and not by obligation.
07The specific plot
This is what is distinctive about the Premium level: going down from the municipality to a single plot. This one is illustrative. Its parameters are the official ones of the URP-AL-6 ‘Las Dunas’ sector, in Marbella Este, the only one of the sites studied with its complete planning approved and recognised by the new general plan.
Illustrative plot, real sectorIt is not a property for sale, we have not valued it and we do not know its owners. We chose the area of 6,000 m² ourselves so that your 30–40 homes fit; everything else comes from the sector’s official fact sheet. The point on the map is approximate: we have placed it on the planning-evolution drawing of the new PGOM14.
In June 2024 the Andalusian regional ministry (the Consejería) approved the amendment to the 1986 plan that reorders this sector with its complete detailed planning, so that it can be carried out without another plan16, and the 2026 PGOM recognises it among the vacant sites that can finish their development (art. 2.2.8)13.
| Parameter | Official value |
|---|---|
| Sector area | 161,305 m², including the Las Dunas park and one community facility |
| Overall use | Residential (minimum 51 % of the buildable floorspace); mandatory hotel use of at least 14,000 m²t |
| Gross plot ratio | 0.281 m²t/m²s · 45,364.48 m²t |
| Homes | Maximum 206; minimum area of 150 m² per home; low density, 13 homes/ha |
| Zoning ordinance | Free-standing apartment blocks, B-6 |
| Minimum plot and net plot ratio | 1,000 m² · 0.9089 m²t/m²s |
| Coverage and height | 25 % of the net plot · PB+4 (ground floor plus four storeys) and 17 m |
| Setbacks | To plot boundaries, half the height; between buildings, the height of the taller one |
| Building form | Several buildings separated by gardens, mostly perpendicular to the sea, none more than 70 m long |
| Management | Private initiative · compensation system |
The floorspace comes from multiplying the plot by the net plot ratio (6,000 × 0.9089); the 36 homes, from dividing it by the minimum area of 150 m². The real number of homes on each plot is set by the sector’s allocation, and the mandatory hotel use may take up part of the floorspace: check it in the re-parcelling.
At the average appraised value of recent homes in Marbella, €5,955/m²1, a 150 m² home is appraised at about €893,000: the ceiling of your range. Las Dunas has no room for €450,000 homes; your product here is the top end, for the international buyer. The 36 homes add up to about €32 million at that average value, and the 25 % capital that opens up bank financing would be about €8 million.
On cost, with the average budget per metre declared in Marbella’s apartment projects in 2025 (€933/m²)3, the works would come to around €5.1 million of material execution, and the tax and municipal fees about €256,000. These are orders of magnitude based on the municipality’s average data, not a valuation or a budget.
Front-line sector: protection easement of 100 m, or 20 m if the land was urban in 1988, and a zone of influence of at least 500 m, where the planning must avoid screens of buildings31.
What to do: boundary demarcation plan (deslinde) and a Costas certificate on the exact plot.
Building limit line 50 m from the carriageway and an easement of 25 m; the fact sheet requires acoustic screens next to the motorway32.
What to do: measure the plot from the outer edge of the carriageway and ask for the roads authority’s report.
Plots bordering the dune systems need a self-protection plan against wildfires, and the fact sheet includes measures to preserve and give continuity to the Dunas de Marbella Ecological Reserve.
What to do: include the self-protection plan in the project from day one.
Archaeological control of earthworks is mandatory. The general system assigned to the sector, next to the Dunas de Artola, lies in the surroundings of the Torre Ladrones, an asset of cultural interest (bien de interés cultural).
What to do: budget for the control and its time before fixing the works schedule.
The Real de Zaragoza stream, one of the sections with significant flood risk in this stretch34, runs according to OpenStreetMap about 50 m from the approximate point with which we locate the plot46: within the 100 m of its policing zone. We have not been able to query the viewer by point, so we do not claim that the plot is flood-prone.
What to do: check the plot in the SNCZI (the national flood-zone mapping viewer) and ask for the water authority’s report.
The fact sheet does not mention livestock routes (vías pecuarias) or aeronautical easements, and Málaga airport is 45 km away by road. That is no proof that they do not exist.
What to do: have the planning certificate say so expressly.
The National Flood-Zone Mapping System (Sistema Nacional de Cartografía de Zonas Inundables) shows floodable zones by return period, river and coastal35. If any part of the plot falls within the policing zone of a watercourse (100 m), any works there are subject to the water authority’s conditions33. With a real property on the table, we make that query ourselves.
A survey with the line of the maritime-terrestrial public domain and the easements drawn on the plot.
A dune sector calls for a study of foundations and the water table before fixing the number of basements.
Outstanding urbanisation levy, contributions to the general systems and guarantees of the compensation board.
Water, sewerage and electricity with capacity for 36 homes: certificates from the utility companies and, for water, the supply allowance the plan requires.
The acoustic study and screens the fact sheet requires, with their cost and authorisation.
For your brief
The sample plot passes the size test: it fits 36 homes. It passes the product test at the ceiling of your range, and the coastal test requires Costas, motorway, dunes and stream to be resolved before buying.
If your central target is homes of €450,000–600,000, this sector is not for you; if it is the upper end, it is the best documented of the three.
08The end buyer
What matters to someone buying a home of €450,000 to €900,000 on this coast: airport, healthcare, schools, beach and safety. And the answer to your open question, using the income that households in each area declare.
Minutes by car without traffic · calculated route (OSRM · OpenStreetMap), not driven and not at rush hour.
Reading. From Estepona Oeste, Hospital Costa del Sol is 33 minutes away: off the scale of this chart. Gibraltar airport requires a border crossing, and the AP-7 keeps the toll on the Estepona–Guadiaro section45.
Source 10 · 14/10/2026The public Hospital Universitario Costa del Sol is 7 minutes from Elviria. In Estepona Oeste, the Hospital de Alta Resolución de Estepona, established in 2020 and run by the same public agency, offers specialist care, single-visit consultations and day surgery41. We have not verified whether it takes emergencies 24 hours a day: check before advertising it in your brochure.
| Centre | Type | From A · B · C |
|---|---|---|
| Hospital Universitario Costa del Sol | Public | 33 · 24 · 7 min |
| Hospital de Alta Resolución de Estepona | Public · high-resolution | 4 · 17 · 37 min |
| Hospiten Estepona | Private | 15 · 5 · 29 min |
| Quirónsalud Marbella | Private | 29 · 20 · 11 min |
Checked on OpenStreetMap; we have not verified their curriculum and we do not give it. For a family buying a primary residence, the school matters as much as the hospital.
Marbella has 8 beaches with the award, among them Cabopino and Los Monteros, in stretch C; Mijas, 5; Manilva, 2. Estepona does not appear on the 2026–2027 list39.
Renewed every yearA: Estepona Golf, Valle Romano and Azata. B: El Paraíso, Atalaya, La Resina and Flamingos. C: Santa María, Greenlife, Cabopino and Marbella Golf.
Located on OpenStreetMap2,905 hours of sun and 534 mm of rain a year at Málaga Airport, the station with the nearest climate normals; the rain is concentrated from October to January38.
Normal 1981–2010, not MarbellaChange in total criminal offences, January–June 2026 against 2025 · Balance de Criminalidad (crime statistics) of the Ministerio del Interior.
Reading, without ranking areas by danger. In 2025, Estepona rose by 12.9 % and Marbella by 3.0 %9. As a rate per 1,000 inhabitants, using the 2025 municipal register (padrón), 72.1 in Estepona and 88.6 in Marbella8. There are no official figures by neighbourhood or by residential estate.
Sources 8 and 9 · 14/10/2026In 2023, households in Estepona declared an average net income of €34,480, and those in Marbella, €37,606: below the Spanish average of €38,326. The highest census sections among those we consulted, Atalaya (€48,964), Los Monteros (€46,928) and Las Chapas (€44,568), are somewhat above it. And across the ten sections consulted, only between 4.6 % (Cancelada) and 21.5 % (Los Monteros) of the population have incomes above twice the median6.
With the average mortgage of July 2026, at 3.01 % over 26 years7, and financing 80 % of the price, this is the monthly payment for your price range against those incomes:
| Price | Monthly payment | % of average income, Estepona | % of average income, Marbella | % of Atalaya section |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| €450,000 | €1,665 | 58 % | 53 % | 41 % |
| €600,000 | €2,220 | 77 % | 71 % | 54 % |
| €900,000 | €3,330 | 116 % | 106 % | 82 % |
Reading: the high-income resident exists, but is a minority of households, and at the upper end of your range hardly ever buys with a mortgage. Your sales plan must rest on the buyer from abroad, with wealth or income that this statistic does not capture, and treat the local resident as only a fraction of your buyers.
For your brief
For your buyer, Marbella Este brings together what matters: airport, hospital and school close by. And your open question has an answer: sell to the buyer from abroad and treat the local resident as only a fraction of your buyers.
The income declared in the areas themselves does not support the upper part of your range with a mortgage.
09The risks
Flooding from streams, wildfire, coastal easements, water and drought, and market risk. With dated facts and the check that each one calls for.
The Arroyo Vaquero, which gives its name to the SURS-O8 sector, and the Arroyo Enmedio, which gives its name to its neighbour, are sections of significant risk; so are the Padrón river and the Guadalmansa in Estepona, and the Real de Zaragoza and the Víbora in Marbella Este34.
Affects ABC
What to do: check the plot in the SNCZI and ask for a hydraulic report if it touches the policing zone.
Sierra Bermeja closes off Estepona’s stretches to the north; in Marbella Este, it is the pine forest and the dunes that matter. The high-danger season runs from 1 June to 15 October37.
Mainly affects AB
What to do: a self-protection plan and a cleared vegetation strip, in the project and in the owners’ community.
They affect only land close to the sea, but there they decide: a protection easement, a 6 m public-access strip and a 500 m zone of influence where screens of buildings must be avoided31.
Matters most in C
What to do: an approved boundary demarcation and a Costas certificate before making an offer.
Marbella’s own general plan speaks of ‘correcting the current deficits’ in the supply of the western Costa del Sol, with works planned up to 202814.
Affects ABC
What to do: a supply certificate with the allowance the plan requires, before buying.
540 homes endorsed in Estepona in a single quarter, with the half-year’s new-build sales 23 % below the previous year23.
Affects BA
What to do: differentiate the product and do not set prices by the neighbour’s offer.
Since 3 April 2025, buying a home no longer qualifies for a residence visa (the investment or ‘golden’ visa)42. Even so, the foreign share of purchases in Spain hit the highest of its series in the second quarter of 20264.
Matters to non-EU buyers in ABC
What to do: do not base your marketing on a residence argument.
Wildfire danger (Plan INFOCA), rain (AEMET normals) and visitor numbers (INE, 2025). Point at a month to read it.
August. At their peak: wildfire danger and visitor numbers.
Sources 5, 37 and 38 · 14/10/2026What is official: in 2021, 8,187 hectares of forest burnt in the province of Málaga, 62.7 % of the whole of Andalusia, with only 9 % of the year’s interventions36. It is the year of the Sierra Bermeja fire, the precedent that obliges us to look at every hillside plot in Estepona.
What we do not publish: the figures for that fire itself. We have not been able to cross-check them against an official report on the episode, and we prefer the verified provincial figure to a press-archive number.
Bulk water supply (abastecimiento en alta) on the western Costa del Sol is run by the Mancomunidad (the association of municipalities) through ACOSOL. Marbella’s new plan takes on the works of the hydrological plan: the refurbishment and commissioning of Marbella’s desalination plant (€39.25 million, before 2028), the improvement of the eastern distribution branch (€33.4 million) and that of the transfer tunnel to the La Concepción reservoir; the Mijas–Fuengirola desalination plant was ruled out14. New developments are required to justify 160 litres per inhabitant per day.
Not measuredWe were not able to consult the current level of the La Concepción reservoir at its official source for this edition. We do not publish it.
For your brief · in this order
None of these risks rules out your development. All of them separate the well-chosen plot from the badly chosen one on the same street.
10Synthesis
We cross-reference the data from the previous chapters with the priorities in your brief. The scores are ROMVILL judgement, not data: change the weights and you will see your stretches reorder themselves. Two scenarios answer your open question: selling off-plan to foreigners or to the local resident.
Each criterion scores from 0 to 10. You decide the weight of each; the starting ones are those of your brief.
The eight judgement scores, one per stretch and priority. Where a figure exists only by municipality, A and B score the same.
Estepona has land in the pipeline and sales, but also the supply that is growing fastest. Marbella Este has price, airport and hospital, and very little land. Your real decision is how hard you are willing to look for land in order to gain price.
With 25 % capital from your partner, the bank can finance without half the loan in pre-sales. Selling off-plan to foreigners becomes a commercial strategy, not a condition imposed by the bank.
Streams at risk, coastal easements, the motorway building line and the water certificate set apart two plots on the same street. No municipal statistic replaces that.
If the answer is yes, you can finance without depending on pre-sales and choose when to sell. If it is no, speed of sale carries more weight and Estepona Este rises in your ranking.
At 2026 appraisals, €600,000 buys about 148 m² in Estepona and about 100 m² in Marbella. Sectors such as Las Dunas, with a minimum of 150 m² per home, only admit the upper end.
With a specific property, your analyst runs the SNCZI query, the boundary demarcation, the sector charges and the planning certificate, and this report is updated with them.
ROMVILL judgement · verdict
With your brief in front of us, Marbella Este is the one that best balances price, buyer and services, if you can get land. If you cannot, Estepona Este sells more, at the price of competing with much more supply. Estepona Oeste is land for a second cycle.
We describe fits, not buying advice. The decision, its negotiation and its execution are yours, with your architect, your planning lawyer and your tax adviser. We guarantee no sales or appreciation of any kind and we are not paid by any seller or developer: the only party we act for is you.
11Before you sign
What this report cannot do for you, in the order in which it is best done. Your ticks are saved in this browser: you can come back whenever you like.
PremiumYour analyst
The Premium level includes direct access to the analyst who signs the judgement. It is the difference between reading a report and being able to discuss it while you negotiate a piece of land.
Access to the analyst
In a real Premium report, this is where the assigned analyst appears, with a name, a direct phone line and a direct WhatsApp. In this sample there is no name or number: the client is fictitious.
Appendix AGlossary
The ones that the municipal technician, your planning lawyer, your notary and your bank will use. In the text, point at an underlined term to read its definition.
No term matches your search.
Appendix BMethod and sources
We prefer an honest gap to a doubtful figure. This is what went into the report, what was left out and why.
Your questionnaire becomes an explicit perimeter: fourteen dimensions, two readings and what is left out.
Each figure is taken from its primary source and stamped with the date it was consulted.
Routes are calculated with OSRM and the series are read from the INE and Ministry databases: anyone can repeat them.
The synthesis is signed as ROMVILL judgement: professional opinion, distinguishable from the figure.
Every published figure has been located, cross-checked and dated by ROMVILL’s analysis team. Technology is used for what it is, a tool for searching, reading and calculating: the decision about what is published, what is discarded and with what caution always rests with a person, who answers for it with their name and with the seal of this report.
Document issued with its report reference. Scan the code or check the reference at romvill.com/verificar.
RV-2026-SMPL-MRB-3918
About this document. Sample document: ROMVILL has prepared it for a fictitious client, Arenvela Costa Developments, S.L., an invented name unrelated to any real company, with real data for the area at the date of issue, 14 October 2026. It is a descriptive report prepared from public information, verified and dated by ROMVILL’s analysis team. ROMVILL is not an estate agency: we do not sell property or land, we do not charge commissions and nobody pays us to speak well or ill of an area, a developer or a development; the developments cited are examples of published supply, not recommendations. The plot in chapter 07 is illustrative: its parameters are the sector’s official ones, but it is not a property for sale and has not been valued. This document is not a recommendation to buy, nor investment, tax, legal or technical advice; the sections on licences, taxation and financing describe a general framework that you must confirm with your adviser, your lawyer and the town hall. Every price cited states whether it is an appraised, asking or transaction price. Reference RV-2026-SMPL-MRB-3918.